Spain used to be a country of football underachievers, capable of producing outstanding teams at the club level and possessing a wealth of talent, but unable to compete at the top international level.
Thanks to Chus Pereda, Luis Suárez (the original one), and a fairly simple draw, they unexpectedly won the Euro 1964 title. However, they only advanced past the quarterfinals of one major event in the 42 years that followed. However, they have won four major competitions in the last eighteen years, and they will have the opportunity to make it five straight finals appearances in the FIFA World Cup final on Sunday. (If you're a "The UEFA Nations League is also a significant competition!"individual, add three more finals appearances and another championship to that total.)
As the opponent of Argentina, Spain advanced to the World Cup final. They don't constantly seek drama and passion, nor do they construct ever-more complex straightjackets to Houdini themselves out of. They just prevail. They play some of the best defence the World Cup has ever seen, they control the ball, and eventually they manage to score the game-winning goal. Sometimes it happens early, like in the 10th minute against Saudi Arabia, the 22nd against France, the 36th against Austria, and the 42nd against Uruguay. Other times, Luis de la Fuente must use the Mikel Merino emergency button. (Merino scored the game-winning goals against Belgium in the 88th minute and Portugal in the 90th+1.) However, the reality that Spain never truly appeared to be going to lose dampened the atmosphere even in those late thrillers.
Spain, the pre-tournament favourite, managed to make it to the final virtually unnoticed despite a dismal start, the underdog-driven group stage, France's flashes of brilliance, and Argentina's previously mentioned hunger for drama. However, Spain is the clear favourite to win the World Cup on Sunday, even if Argentina has the greatest player of all time, France has the glitz, and England has the Premier League nearby. They have an opportunity to solidify their position as the greatest footballing nation in the world with flawless defence, a flawlessly designed system, and the ideal decision to top the org chart.
The closest you can get to perfect defence
Excellent defensive numbers can be achieved in essentially two ways. You can tilt the pitch in your favour, keep your opponent as far away from your own goal as possible, counterpress in all the standard, efficient ways, and essentially stop your opponent from producing any kind of shot quantity at all if you possess the skill to play a strong, contemporary possession game. This is what almost every wealthy, successful club in mid-2020s club football attempts to do with varied degrees of risk and intensity.
Option B is to make a great, congested box, give your opponent as many futile long-range attempts as possible, and spend ninety minutes making sure they don't get a clear view of the goal. Many successful World Cup underdogs used this strategy, and it's one of the principles that enables overachieving teams like Athletic Club to, well, overachieve.
At the World Cup, Spain has discovered a third option: perform both exceptionally well.
In terms of both shots allowed per possession and xG allowed per shot, Spain leads all 48 World Cup teams.
They benefit from having a strong pressing game; they rank third in high turnovers forced (12.9 per 90 minutes), first in the proportion of their possessions beginning in the attacking third (12.1%), and third in passes allowed per defensive action (9.0). They don't offer opponents much peace, and their defence begins at the top with especially strong contributions from winger Álex Baena and center forward Mikel Oyarzabal, neither of whom was selected for their positions due to their exceptional scoring prowess. Additionally, they can play with a nice, high defensive line and regularly draw opponents offside (3.3 times per 90, fifth overall) thanks to their outstanding possession game (they rank third in possession rate, at 63.7%).
It makes natural that Spain would succeed in this area for a team that draws all 26 of its players from the rosters of teams in Europe's Big Five leagues, including eight from Barcelona, the continent's most pressing and possession-intensive team. While defensive midfielder Rodri earned a Ballon d'Or and 13 trophies with Pep Guardiola's Manchester City, key attackers Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo, midfielder Pedri (relegated to a bench duty lately), and center back Pau Cubarsí are Barça mainstays. They possess and press well, of course. However, Spain has advanced to a new level since they have also mastered the uncommon defensive intervention and played flawless transition defence.
It seemed simple to describe Spain's semifinal matchup with France as a conflict between two styles: Spain would want to control the ball, but they would also allow space for France's deadly and quick attackers to try to exploit. However, Spain swiftly intervened in nearly every effort at changeover, eliminating any tension.
Given that they typically have the ball, it makes reasonable that Spain ranks merely 46th in the tournament for defensive interventions per game (55.4). However, they exchanged some initiative for interventions while holding a lead over France for almost 70 minutes: They scored 71 goals overall, with 10 coming from Cubarsí, 9 from defensive midfielder Fabián Ruiz and right back Pedro Porro (who also scored the team's second goal), 8 from center back Aymeric Laporte and left back Marc Cucurella, and 7 from Rodri. Additionally, Rodri won an incredible 11 out of 16 duel attempts (68.8%), Porro and Cucurella won eight out of 13 (61.5%), Ruiz won five out of seven (71.4%), and Cubarsí and Laporte won five out of seven. Together, that represents a 67.4% winning rate against a French attack that is both technically and athletically exceptional.
There wasn't much room for France, and little they did discover swiftly vanished. Additionally, Spain demonstrated their ability to bunker in and put bodies in front of the goal late in the game as they attempted to extend their two-goal lead. Only ten shots were taken by France at the end of the game; none were worth more than 0.06 xG, only one was attempted within 14 meters of the goal, and only three reached keeper Unai Simón, who easily stopped each. Two of the shots and eighteen passes were stopped by Spain's defenders. It was arguably the tournament's best defensive performance.
Club underachievers, country stalwarts
On the one hand, it should come as no surprise that this group of defenders could play this well; they all currently play or have played for some of the biggest teams in the world, including Barcelona (Cubarsí), Chelsea (Cucurella), Paris Saint-Germain (Ruiz), Manchester City (Rodri and, until 2023, Laporte), and, if they still count, Tottenham Hotspur (Porro).
However, following a knee injury in August 2024, Rodri has spent the last two seasons trying to regain his Ballon d'Or form. After two seasons with Al Nassr, Laporte played for a dismal Athletic Club in 2025–2026. Simón, the goalie for Athletic, is regarded by many as Spain's second-best goalie, after David Raya of Arsenal. Although Cucurella will join Real Madrid after leaving North America following Sunday's final, he has spent the last few years as one of the faces of a Chelsea squad that is unable to decide on a cohesive playing or roster-building philosophy. Ruiz missed a significant portion of the 2025–26 season due to injury, starting just 13 league games for PSG. Cubarsí is exceptional for a 19-year-old, but he is still young for a role that often takes more time to develop.
When you include players like Baena of Atletico Madrid (just two goals and three assists in 2,305 club minutes) and Oyarzabal of Real Sociedad (nine non-penalty goals in all club competitions last season), you don't get the impression that this is a team built around the world's best, most productive club players. Furthermore, Spain is only 13th out of 48 teams in goals per 90 minutes (1.86) and 18th in xG per shot (0.15), despite Yamal's unrelenting, duel-winning presence on the right wing. However, because the pieces suit the system perfectly, they are top in both goal differential (+1.7 per game) and xG differential (+1.6).
"I've always said this footballing model is tailor-made for this group of players," De la Fuente said after Tuesday's semifinal victory. "We know exactly what they can offer and how they can improve this style of play, but the credit belongs to the players. Our job is to choose the players who best fit this model and this philosophy."
Rodri's return to full-fledged Rodri hasn't hurt. Despite the occasional lack of confidence he displayed with City during the previous season, he has been steady-footed and flawless throughout the competition for almost two full years after his injury. In terms of creativity, he ranks second on the team in chances created (nine); in terms of possession and buildup, he ranks first in touches (794), passes completed (655), passes received (580), progressive passes (81), carries (556), and carry distance (2,426 meters); in terms of defence, he ranks first in successful tackles (22), ball recoveries (34), and ground duels won (30). He's performing about as well as he has in the past.
"Rodri is the axis of the team," De la Fuente said. "He's the positional reference point who does everything well. He understands attacking football brilliantly. He plays with very few touches. He breaks lines with incredible ease. Defensively, his positioning gives the team balance. He wins back countless balls. He's unquestionably one of the most important players in our system. We're fortunate to have footballers like him."
The doting dad in charge
Right now, it's hard to think of anyone who more embodies Spain's footballing ideology than De la Fuente. The 65-year-old has worked for the Spanish federation for the past 13 years, initially coaching the U19 squad before rising through the ranks. Like practically everyone else, he has assimilated and applied their style of play.
However, he was a master of a rougher, more defensive style of Spanish play in the decades before to that. In the 1980s and early 1990s, he made 196 starts for Athletic Club. De la Fuente spent 50 minutes on the field during the renowned Butcher of Bilbao game, where Andoni Goikoetxea shattered Diego Maradona's ankle. Despite having the appearance of a college professor, he participated in one of the most physically demanding periods in the history of the sport.
Before joining the national federation, De la Fuente coached at Athletic and Alavés after playing for Athletic twice, Sevilla, and Alavés. He is an expert in Spanish football. Additionally, he nearly comes out as a proud father rather than a strict coach during his press appearances. He described the King of Spain's call following their victory over France as a "tremendous source of pride ... to know that we've helped bring joy to an entire country that has come together in the streets behind this team." He frequently brought up the topic of happiness, later stating, "Seeing other people happy is the greatest joy there is." We are motivated by that.
He spoke extensively about choosing roommates rather than strategies when asked about the group's secret sauce.
"I think the most important thing is choosing your travel companions wisely," he said. "If you choose the wrong people, the journey becomes difficult. We've always paid a lot of attention to that. Not just the players, but everyone who forms part of this group works toward the same objective. ... We've spent 47 days together, if I'm not mistaken, and there hasn't been a single problem. But again, the key is choosing the right people to travel with."
Lionel Scaloni, the head coach of Argentina, hails from a similar background. He spoke extensively on the value of relationships and life experiences the evening before their quarterfinal matchup with Switzerland. "I'm not a coach because I love the 4-3-3 formation," he stated. "I want to relive these kinds of experiences—being a part of a group, sharing a mate, having an asado, and playing Truco—which is why I am a coach. We have spent our entire lives doing it. You will eventually burn out if the match is all you can focus about. What's the point if you don't like everything around it?
Before Spain's semifinal against France, De la Fuente hammered home a simple message: "We were facing one of the best national teams in the world, but [France] were facing the best team in the world," he said. "That's the best way to neutralize any opponent's footballing proposal."
When he claims that "the Spanish football player is the best football player in the world because of his understanding of the game," he may be a little biased. It's a huge accomplishment for Spanish football, Spanish coaches, Spanish teams, and Spanish development systems that Spanish players know how to act in attack, defence, and every stage in between. We ought to be grateful for what we have in Spain. However, they have supported this viewpoint quite often over the years.
Favored, but not guaranteed
Spain drew with Cape Verde in the group stage despite their superior technical and defensive skills, and they were level extremely late in regulation against two of their four opponents in the knockout stage. About once every game, Simón seems to go insane, charge for a misjudged ball, and momentarily find himself severely out of position. Their assault isn't particularly prolific. (Spain's defence does a fantastic job of covering for him, but still!)
Nobody is unbeatable, and in the championship match, Spain will play Argentina, a squad that appears to be quite beatable for 70 to 80 minutes before becoming an unbeatable team of destiny. On paper, Spain has a 56.3% chance of winning, according to Opta, and an implied 58.8% chance based on DK Sports betting odds, but that's not much better than a coin toss.
Even with Argentina's recent run of incredible finishes, it's difficult to pick against the team that gives their opponents the fewest and worst shots, has the world's best defensive midfielder (again), has the world's best duel-winning winger up front, and is undefeated in 37 consecutive games (not counting penalty shootouts). Spain is just ninety minutes away from winning their second World Cup because they have worked out how to significantly reduce uncertainty and maximise the qualities of their playing pool.
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